Report on  CAeM-XIII, Geneva, Switzerland, Nov/Dec 2006

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Report - Commission for Aeronautical Meteorology (CAEM-XIII)
Geneva, Switzerland, 23 November to 1 December   2006

View of the CAeM-XIII in session with the WMO Secretariat, D. Schiessl, the past President N. Gordon and the CAeM Secretariat H. Puempel on the podium and the HMEI representatives, B. Sumner and J. Polivinen in the foreground of the photo.
View of the CAeM-XIII in session
Please click to enlarge.

HMEI thanks Mr. Juhani Polvinen from Vaisala for his input into this report.

This report covers various items from CAeM considered of particular interest to the HMEI Membership and is not intended to be definitive.
Please see here the WMO Final Report of the meeting

Participants
The HMEI representatives at the meeting were,
Mr. Hannu Katajamäki and Mr. Juhani Polvinen from Vaisala's Aviation Weather Business Unit., Bruce Sumner the HMEI Executive Secretary and Christine Charstone the HMEI Administrator. There were over 130 participants from members of WMO and the various agencies concerned with aviation meteorology.
For the full list of participants please see the pdf document here.

Opening at 10am
The President of CAeM, Dr Neil Gordon, opened the session and welcomed participants and guests. In his speech Dr Gordon stressed the importance of the Aviation Commission in WMO, saying it is a large and important part of the work of WMO. He also noted that CAeM contributed approximately 30% of cost recovery
to Meteorological Services. The President acknowledged the work of the Commission, thanking Commission members for their work. He noted that as he was retiring from the position of President of the CAeM, there would be a vote for the New Commission President and Vice-President of CAeM during this conference. The President then invited the WMO Secretary General to address the Commission.

The WMO Secretary General, Mr Michel Jarraud, then addressed the meeting. He also thanked the Commission and its members for their work. Mr Jarraud recalled the history of CAeM within WMO. He acknowledged the many important activities of CAeM. Mr Jarraud noted the fast growth of the aviation area worldwide and the importance of the aviation area in addressing global environmental issues. The Secretary General said that the debates, discussion and decisions of this meeting of the Commission would contribute to the scientific basis for international executive decision making. Mr Jarraud particularly mentioned the success of  AMDAR and noted the work of AMDAR in the development, with NOAA and a private manufacturer, in creation of a new Humidity sensor. The excellent cooperation between CAeM and ICAO was also noted.

Report by the President of the Commission (Doc 3)
 The President said that it had been realised that the Commission had been over optimistic in expecting too much to be achieved by the Commission in a given period of time. This was exacerbated by the lack of funds to support an ambitious OPAGs and Expert Teams meeting structure. He previewed some changes to CAeM that this Commission meeting would therefore be considering.
These included:

Planning:
§ CAeM to ensure it was value adding and complementing the work of other WMO Commissions such as CBS and CIMO;
§ CAeM would particularly target Training;
§ CAeM would work on cross cutting with other WMO Commissions.
The President stated that he had already taken the lead in cross cutting issues.

Structure:
§ A new more efficient OPAGS structure would be developed;
§ Expert Teams would also be looked at and if necessary revised.

AMDAR .
§ AMDAR would see the addition of Humidity Sensors on aircraft, which will enhance the observation program.

Dr Gordon thanked those who had worked on the Expert Teams and the Commission members and the WMO Secretariat. Dr Gordon is leaving the post of President of CAeM, so a new President would be elected during this session of CAeM.
Click here to see the pdf  of the President's report

OPAG TRENDS Reports (Docs 4.1)
Training in Aeronautical Meteorology

There were some issues in training that were particularly identified in the discussion on training:
§ There is a need for more multi-lingual training seminars and documentation
§ The CAeM training webpage is only in English which thus is not user friendly for those speaking other languages
§ There is a perceived need to train the trainers in the various countries
§ Although there have been several training seminars recently in developing countries, there is a need for still more training opportunities in the less and least developed countries.
§ Some publications from CAeM are out of date and so the publications will be revised by the relevant expert team.

Training Website
A very comprehensive training and resource website has been developed at www.caem.wmo.int

Future Aerodrome Forecasts
The science of meteorology cannot be fully exploited using the current TAF format. There was discussion on revising the TAF code to include more probabilistic type of information and that also can include more information such as runway visual range and precipitation rates. The new probabilistic forecasts should be developed in conjunction with ICAO.

Effects of Aviation Activities on Global Warming
Aircraft contrails, when they spread out, contribute to greenhouse warning. If aircraft  could miss the thin lenses of high humidity that exist in the atmosphere where aircraft contrails are produced, it would contributed to a lessening of climate change. Missing the thin lenses would have no impact on aircraft operations. For aircraft to know of these areas of high humidity it will be necessary to add humidity sensors to all aircraft.

OPAG PROMET Reports (Docs 4.2)
Problems and Opportunities Arising from the Migration of OPMET Data to BUFR (Doc 4.2(7))
Please click here to see this document
Limitations in the METAR and TAF code forms have been identified, BUFR is the possible solution to these limitations and was a recommendation from the WMO CAeM-XII/ICAO MET Divisional Meeting (2002) and from the plan of WMO, endorsed by its Fourteenth Congress in May 2003, for the transition from the traditional alphanumeric codes (TAC) to Table Driven Code Forms (TDCF) for all types of meteorological information.

Concerns:
§ BUT not all exchange of data goes through the NMSs but some is through national aviation authorities;
§ Concerns were expressed that there are no real benefits to adopt BUFR and that its introduction could cause problems;
§ Some people considered that they should wait for at least a year and see if BUFR is worthwhile;
§ The CAeM will probably need to further consider BUFR and this would delay the introduction of BUFR.

Neil Gordon suggested that CAeM send representatives to the relevant CBS Expert Teams on BUFR as ICAO is going to do.

Election of Officers (Doc 6)
§ Mr Carr McLEOD of Canada was elected as the new President of CAeM
§ Mr. C.M. Shun of Hong Kong, China was elected as the new Vice-President of CAeM

Introduction of BUFR-encoded SIGWX data and visualization software (Doc 4.2(6))
New visualization software has to be obtained in order to display BUFR formatted SIGWX data. The World Area Forecast System (WAFC) London was invited to access vendors software to determine if it could properly display SIGWX bulletin data in BUFR format as a visual presentation on a workstation. Several vendors software were evaluated against a set of criteria developed by ICAO and SADIS. The majority of vendors software meet the required standards. For the evaluations see: http://www.metoffice.com/sadis/software/index.html

Establishment of a Trust Fund for access to WAFS products Doc 4.2(4))
31 December 2008 has been set as the date that first-generation WAFS workstations and associated visualization software will stop being supported, and only second-generation workstations will be supported. However Least Developed Countries (LDCs) will have trouble meeting this date with new equipment. To assist with this a Trust Fund will be set up to assist these countries in acquiring the necessary equipment and software. The income for the trust fund will come from (a) voluntary contributions from WMO Members (b) voluntary contributions made for specific purposes, (c) contributions from other donors and (d) interest on investments in the Trust Fund.

Aviation Weather Services Modernization (USA) (INF Doc 13)
FAA in USA requires a modernization of their aviation weather support system. They are working with the National Weather Service on this project. A market research via a market survey began in November 2006 to determine the capability of the aviation industry private sector to provide solutions. The Market Survey closes on 30 November 2006.

30 Hour TAF (INF Doc 14)
A 30-hour TAF becomes operational globally in November 2008. Members were advised that considerable work may be required to modify their software to allow for the new forecast period and other decoding issues.

CAeM Structure and establishment of OPAGs and Expert Teams (Doc 10)
HMEI advised the Commission that it wishes to participate on several of the proposed Expert Teams. HMEI advised the group of its involvement with other WMO Commission Expert Teams and gave a short introduction of the Associations activities and to the membership of the association, in particular that we have several manufacturers with expertise in the aviation area. The Commission agree that HMEI would be able to contribute to the work of the Expert Team, and approved the addition of HMEI to the small list of International Associations that will be invited to attend expert meetings as they are convened.

Scientific Lecture: WAFS (Doc 12) Click here to see this presentation in full
Implementation of WAFS was neither easy nor quick. However the benefits are considerable:

§ Inclusion of AMDAR data provides additional information for data sparse areas;
§
Benefits are global and large for forecasts out to 48 hours;
§ Common communication between NWP centres;
§ Development of low cost systems for Aviation Met Authorities to solve a variety of forecasting problems;
§ Training was implemented on how to use the information WAFS provided, to improve aviation forecasts, with exceptional results.

The presentation also discussed how Numerical Weather Prediction in Aviation Forecasting is the best way for Aviation Forecasting to move forward into the future.

Rapporteur on the AMDAR Panel - some remarks -  Reported for HMEI by Mr. Juhani Polvinen from Vaisala
Airbus has made a proposal for including Water Vapor Sensing System (WVSS) in its planes. It proposes to include a WVSS system in Airbus planes together with new ATSU software (air traffic service unit) with weather report software compliant with the ARINC communication standards.

Sensors supplied to Airbus planes will be Airbus qualified and the sensor system will be a catalog item for Airbus. All this is dependant on the availability of an equipment/ supplier to meet AMDAR requirements. The supplier selection will be done by Airbus (based on meeting the technical specifications by Airbus and the AMDAR panel). The sensors themselves will be purchased by the airlines. The benefits of this approach will be the fact that the design will meet the OEM safety and quality standards of Airbus, the design will be applicable to all airliners (in Airbus planes) and it will offer a worldwide coverage.

The AMDAR panel highlighted that AMDAR is not yet a replacement to Radiosonde as the coverage is still not adequate. The global AMDAR system is NOT fully operative, yet. There are still a lot of empty areas in the world.

Another interesting thing is the availability of the water vapor sensors that depends on the trial tests in USA (UPS) and Europe (Lufthansa). If the outcome of the trials is that the data is acceptable to be used for short term forecasting and modeling, then there is already an interest to buy water vapor sensors. What this will require is the NMS's to ask an airline to drill holes in an aircraft and install water vapor sensors. The installation can be done by the aircraft manufacturer before the aircraft is delivered to its customer.

First test results on water vapor sensors are awaited soon. Member states will be informed as soon as data is available.

Comments:
Canada:
AMDAR panel is funded by a trust fund. Contributing members (at least Canada) want to move AMDAR into WWW and CBS. Canada raised concerns as the move of AMDAR to CBS seems to be delayed. It is not yet recognized if AMDAR data is useful for the whole set of meteorology and not just aviation.
Germany: when do AMDAR measurements replace humidity measurements by radiosondes? Use of this data by NMSs. How to use the data for short term forecasting?
USA: Cost-benefit? If we bring these sensors on line maybe we can replace some other sensors. We have to better understand how to quantify what is the impact of this new information that we have not previously had. Encourage AMDAR panel to install the humidity sensors into AMDAR systems.
NZ: We are a member of and a voluntary contributor to the AMDAR panel. The migration that will take place is only that the home in WMO will shift from CAeM into somebody else. The migration is simply a change in responsibility in WMO. Funding is in place and the voluntary contributions should continue.
WMO Secretariat: There is a quantum jump in costs when the humidity sensors are implemented. That should be taken into account. Migration to a more operative function was requested by some members. Sticking to nominal budget reduces WMO capabilities. WMO cannot take more and more responsibilities with nominal budgets.


Mr. Hannu Katajamäki  from Vaisala and other participants at the CAeM in front of the HMEI display outside the conference room.

HMEI Display at CAeM
HMEI Member Products Catalogues were available outside the conference at a HMEI display stand. The stand attracted considerable attention and over 80 Catalogues on CD-ROMs were taken by attendees of CAeM.

HMEI and CAeM delegates
The Executive Secretary of HMEI, Bruce Sumner, addressed the conference and introduced HMEI to the CAeM delegates. After this he was personally approached by some of the delegates:

Senegal Delegate - Opportunity for Instrumentation Procurement
The Senegal delegate contacted HMEI personally to ask how to contact manufacturers for the provision of some specific instruments, including thermometers, anemometers, and digital barometers. The HMEI Member Product Catalogue, live on-line, was demonstrated for him and he was shown the application areas. HMEI has recommended that he contact companies directly, using the information in the HMEI Catalogue, to find the equipment that he requires.

Russian Delegate
The Russian Delegate also inquired personally about HMEI. She was enthusiastic about this new means of finding equipment, has taken a copy of the HMEI Catalogue and expressed her intention of using this resource.

Hong Kong Delegate  
The HMEI Secretariat spoke with the Hong Hong Delegate, CM Shun who is also the new Vice-President of CAeM, and his colleague, Sharon Lau Sum Yee. They were extremely interested in the potential usefulness of HMEI for CAeM and the Hong Kong Observatory. A good rapport has been developed with them, they requested HMEI to keep them informed of HMEI activities and send them the HMEI newsletters.

HMEI and the CAeM President
The previous CAeM President Neil Gordon is well known to HMEI. The Executive Secretary took the opportunity of this conference to introduce HMEI to the new President of CAeM,
Carr McLeod, who said he looked forward to working with HMEI in the future and encouraged HMEI to join the Expert Teams of CAeM.

Closing of the conference
The conference was closed earlier than anticipated, on Thursday afternoon, 30th November 2006.